On a certain island, people are gifted with assorted eye colours. There are a hundred green-coloured and a hundred grey-coloured pairs of eyes. On that island, there is no mirror available. Thus no one knows the eye color of their own. They could have asked each other but that is prohibited. They are not allowed to converse with each other. However, they can study and analyze other’s eyes. They don’t even know the statistics so it is believable to them that their eyes can be blue as well. There is a chance of freedom from the island. If anyone can guess the colour of his own eyes correctly, he will be set free and can leave the island.

On one particular day, an outsider comes to the island and announces that he has seen someone with grey colour eyes. What will happen now?

Once upon a time, three rivals got together in a dark wood on an open spot to compose a quarrel by using guns. It was a kind of duel but there were three people in it and therefore it was a truel. There were A, B and C. There were some rules to be followed in the game. The rules of the games were:
-They have to draw the lots to find who will fire first who will be second and who will be third.
– The next rule is that they will start firing on each other unless there is a last person alive.
– Each person will decide on his own about which person he will fire on.
-it is quite clear that A hits and kills in all the shots and it is 100%. Whereas 80% of the shots are hit by B and C hits 50% of the shots he tries to fire. the three persons have their strategies for firing. Nobody is killed by the stray bullet.

Question: who will have the highest chance of surviving in the truel and how much is the chance?